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Deadlines

August 1, 2001
Competition Announcement

November 20, 2001 12.00 GMT (London time zone)
Competition results upload

November 27 , 2001, 12.00 GMT (London time zone)
Announcement of results

December 13-14, 2001 - Tennerife, Canary Islands, Spain
Workshop about the results

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Definition of the Problem

The problem to be solved is the forecasting of maximum daily electrical load based on electrical load values and aditional data. Each competitor will be given (after registration to competition) half an hour loads and average daily temperatures of the time period 1997 – 1998. Also included are the holidays for the same period of time. The actual task of each competitor is to supply the prediction of maximum daily values of electrical loads for January 1999 (31 data values altogether).

After receiving all competitors’ solutions a commission will evaluate the results of each solution according to the following:

1. Magnitude of MAPE error where n = 31
2. Magnitude of MAXIMAL error where i = 1,...,31
is the real value of maximum daily electrical load on the ”i” day of the year 1999
is the predicted value of maximum daily electrical load on the ” i " day of the year 1999
n - is the number of days in January of 1999 (31)
Description of particular files [competition-data.zip]
Load1997.xls - the file consists of all half an hour electrical loads of the year 1997. Every line represents a corresponding day (from 1 to 365) and every column presents half an hour loads (from 1 to 48).
Load1998.xls - the file consists of all half an hour electrical loads of the year 1998. Every line represents a corresponding day (from 1 to 365) and every column presents half an hour loads (from 1 to 48).
Temperature1997.xls - the file consists of average daily temperatures of the year 1997.
Temperature1998.xls - the file consists of average daily temperatures of the year 1998.
Holidays.xls - the file describes the occurrence of holidays in the period from 1997 – 1999.
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created by Daniel
(c) 2001